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Poll: Mike Pence, John Gregg In Dead Heat For Indiana Governor

Posted On May 19, 2016

By Travis Thayer

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Democratic gubernatorial candidate John Gregg (left) and Gov. Mike Pence. File photo.

(Indianapolis, Ind.) – The first post-primary poll shows that the race for Indiana governor may be a dead heat in November.

A new poll conducted by Bellwether Research on behalf of Bill Oesterle’s Free Enterprise PAC shows Gov. Mike Pence with a 40-36 percent lead over Democrat John Gregg.

Prior to the primary election, the WTHR/Howey Politics Indiana Poll conducted April 18-21 had Pence leading Gregg 49-45 percent.

The new poll was conducted May 11-15 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent, making the gubernatorial race a virtual toss-up.

According to Bellwether pollster Christine Matthews, the 600 likely voters polled had a 12 percent Republican makeup, 39-27 percent.

That could be unsettling for Gov. Pence, considering the poll had his reelect number at 36 percent, with 49 percent wanting a new person as governor, and 15 percent saying they didn’t know.

Women under 45 said they prefer a new governor by a 59 to 21 percent margin. The strong support for a new governor could be due to a bill Pence signed into law last month, which added new provisions to Indiana’s existing abortion laws.

The Free Enterprise PAC Poll also tested four basic issue questions. On attracting jobs and managing the state budget, likely voters preferred Pence. Gregg received more support on issues such as representing the Hoosier state nationally and improving education.