Poll: With Donnelly And Braun Evenly Split, Libertarians And Undecideds Will Determine Senate Race

Tuesday, October 23, 2018 at 7:24 AM

By Mike Perleberg @mikedup84

Here is the latest poll looking at Indiana's U.S. Senate race.

Indiana U.S. Senate candidates (left to right) Joe Donnelly, Mike Braun, and Lucy Brenton.

(Undated) – It would be a miracle if she won the race, but Libertarian Indiana U.S. Senate candidate Lucy Brenton may certainly influence the outcome.

On Monday, the Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics at Purdue University released a poll showing Democrat incumbent Senator Joe Donnelly with 41 percent support among Indiana’s likely voters. Republican Mike Braun is getting 40 percent support.

Just eight percent support went to Brenton. But, as the Downs Center notes, Brenton appears “to be pulling support from Donnelly or Braun depending on the category.”

Those who could sway the outcome of the race are also the 11 percent of voters who are undecided, according to the poll.

The demographics show stark differences among the candidates. Donnelly owns urban voters with a 35-point lead, but Braun has a 22-point advantage among rural voters and a one-point lead among suburban voters. Braun, a businessman and former state lawmaker, has a 10-point lead among people earning at least $80,000 annually while Donnelly has a 12-point advantage among Hoosiers earning below $40,000.

The poll of 816 people was conducted October 12 through 16 by Survey USA. It has a credibility interval, similar to margin of error, of 4.6 percent.